Will Google release Gemini 4 before Oct 1, 2026?

Call Yes 11Ᵽ Call No 89Ᵽ

11.00Ᵽ

last traded

Call Yes

29.00Ᵽ – 33.00Ᵽ

Call No

67.00Ᵽ – 71.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 9%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

29.00Ᵽ best bid · 33.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $16,305 volume · $0 liquidity · 11,913 open interest

👥 1 trader 📈 3 trades on Profet · 15.00 contracts traded 💰 15.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 29.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 71.00Ᵽ · if correct: +290.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −710.00Ᵽ

Asks

5.00 33.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 5.00 @ 33.00Ᵽ · if correct: +335.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −165.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Oct. 1, 2026, 3:59 a.m.
Rules: If Google releases Gemini 4 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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