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#19362
📋 See 6 related markets on this same event »
Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q3 2026 be above 4.40%?
Call Yes 44Ᵽ
Call No 56Ᵽ
44.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
42.00Ᵽ – 46.00Ᵽ
Call No
54.00Ᵽ – 58.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 44%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
42.00Ᵽ best bid · 46.00Ᵽ best ask
🌐 On Kalshi right now:
$3,357 volume
· $0 liquidity
· 1,985 open interest
Price history
This platform
Order book
Bids
Call No 10.00 @ 58.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +420.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −580.00Ᵽ
Asks
Call Yes 10.00 @ 46.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +540.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −460.00Ᵽ
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
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Resolution
- Source
-
Kalshi
✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for Sep 30, 2026 (end of Q3 2026) is above 4.40%, then the market resolves to Yes.
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