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#19363
📋 See 6 related markets on this same event »
Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q3 2026 be above 4.50%?
Call Yes 12Ᵽ
Call No 88Ᵽ
12.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
10.00Ᵽ – 14.00Ᵽ
Call No
86.00Ᵽ – 90.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 12%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
10.00Ᵽ best bid · 14.00Ᵽ best ask
🌐 On Kalshi right now:
$4,814 volume
· $0 liquidity
· 2,708 open interest
Price history
This platform
Order book
Bids
Call No 10.00 @ 90.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +100.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −900.00Ᵽ
Asks
Call Yes 10.00 @ 14.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +860.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −140.00Ᵽ
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
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Resolution
- Source
-
Kalshi
✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for Sep 30, 2026 (end of Q3 2026) is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
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