← All markets
Open
🔬 Science & Climate
General
#19868
📋 See 3 related markets on this same event »
Will an earthquake of at least 8.0 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?
Call Yes 9Ᵽ
Call No 91Ᵽ
9.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
7.00Ᵽ – 11.00Ᵽ
Call No
89.00Ᵽ – 93.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 9%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
7.00Ᵽ best bid · 11.00Ᵽ best ask
🌐 On Kalshi right now:
$2,983 volume
· $0 liquidity
· 1,460 open interest
Price history
This platform
Order book
Bids
Call No 10.00 @ 93.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +70.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −930.00Ᵽ
Asks
Call Yes 10.00 @ 11.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +890.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −110.00Ᵽ
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
Log in to add your own rating.
Resolution
Source
Kalshi
✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Oct. 1, 2026, 3:59 a.m.
Rules
If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 8.0 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet -- be the first to say something.