Will at least one export shipment of crude oil or refined petroleum products from Petróleos Mexicanos (“Pemex”) to Cuba be confirmed to have occurred before Oct 1, 2026?

Call Yes 9Ᵽ Call No 91Ᵽ

9.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

7.00Ᵽ – 11.00Ᵽ

Call No

89.00Ᵽ – 93.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 9%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

7.00Ᵽ best bid · 11.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $3,081 volume · $0 liquidity · 1,184 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 7.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 93.00Ᵽ · if correct: +70.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −930.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 11.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 11.00Ᵽ · if correct: +890.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −110.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Oct. 1, 2026, 3:59 a.m.
Rules: If at least one export shipment of crude oil or refined petroleum products from Petróleos Mexicanos (“Pemex”) to Cuba is confirmed to have occurred before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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