Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Call Yes 7Ᵽ Call No 93Ᵽ

7.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

5.00Ᵽ – 9.00Ᵽ

Call No

91.00Ᵽ – 95.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 7%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

5.00Ᵽ best bid · 9.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $970,593 volume · $0 liquidity · 408,132 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 5.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 95.00Ᵽ · if correct: +50.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −950.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 9.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 9.00Ᵽ · if correct: +910.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −90.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Nov. 1, 2026, 2:59 p.m.
Rules: If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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