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#26077
📋 See 8 related markets on this same event »
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
Call Yes 13Ᵽ
Call No 87Ᵽ
13.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
11.00Ᵽ – 15.00Ᵽ
Call No
85.00Ᵽ – 89.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 13%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
11.00Ᵽ best bid · 15.00Ᵽ best ask
🌐 On Kalshi right now:
$867,696 volume
· $0 liquidity
· 429,615 open interest
Price history
This platform
Order book
Bids
Call No 10.00 @ 89.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +110.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −890.00Ᵽ
Asks
Call Yes 10.00 @ 15.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +850.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −150.00Ᵽ
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
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Resolution
Source
Kalshi
✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Dec. 1, 2026, 2:59 p.m.
Rules
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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