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#26080
📋 See 8 related markets on this same event »
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
Call Yes 56Ᵽ
Call No 44Ᵽ
56.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
54.00Ᵽ – 58.00Ᵽ
Call No
42.00Ᵽ – 46.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 56%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
54.00Ᵽ best bid · 58.00Ᵽ best ask
🌐 On Kalshi right now:
$1,488,982 volume
· $0 liquidity
· 388,865 open interest
Price history
This platform
Order book
Bids
Call No 10.00 @ 46.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +540.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −460.00Ᵽ
Asks
Call Yes 10.00 @ 58.00Ᵽ
· if correct: +420.00Ᵽ
· if wrong: −580.00Ᵽ
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
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Resolution
Source
Kalshi
✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
July 1, 2027, 1:59 p.m.
Rules
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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