← All markets

Open 🏛️ Politics General #26081

📋 See 8 related markets on this same event »

💬 Jump to comments

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2028?

Call Yes 61Ᵽ Call No 39Ᵽ
61.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
59.00Ᵽ – 63.00Ᵽ
Call No
37.00Ᵽ – 41.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 61%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

59.00Ᵽ best bid · 63.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $24,353 volume · $0 liquidity · 16,996 open interest
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform
Loading…

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

Loading…
Bids
10.00 59.00Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 41.00Ᵽ · if correct: +590.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −410.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 63.00Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 63.00Ᵽ · if correct: +370.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −630.00Ᵽ

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Resolution

Source
Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Comments

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet -- be the first to say something.