Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Sep 2026?

Call Yes 60Ᵽ Call No 40Ᵽ

60.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

58.00Ᵽ – 62.00Ᵽ

Call No

38.00Ᵽ – 42.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 60%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

58.00Ᵽ best bid · 62.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $3,324 volume · $0 liquidity · 696 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 58.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 42.00Ᵽ · if correct: +580.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −420.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 62.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 62.00Ᵽ · if correct: +380.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −620.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Oct. 6, 2026, 12:59 p.m.
Rules: If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 10 in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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