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Open 🏛️ Politics General #3450

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Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Call Yes 2Ᵽ Call No 98Ᵽ
1.80Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
1.00Ᵽ – 3.15Ᵽ
Call No
96.85Ᵽ – 99.00Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 1%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.00Ᵽ best bid · 3.15Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $170,017 volume · $84,958 liquidity
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book

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Bids
10.00 1.00Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 99.00Ᵽ · if correct: +10.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −990.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 3.15Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 3.15Ᵽ · if correct: +968.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −31.50Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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