Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

82.50Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

80.50Ᵽ – 84.50Ᵽ

Call No

15.50Ᵽ – 19.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 84%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

80.50Ᵽ best bid · 84.50Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $260,826 volume · $9,306 liquidity

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election? Kalshi: 1% · 82.90Ᵽ apart

Will Tarcisio de Frietas be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election? Kalshi: 1% · 83.00Ᵽ apart

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election? Kalshi: 4% · 80.00Ᵽ apart

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

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Bids

10.00 80.50Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 19.50Ᵽ · if correct: +805.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −195.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 84.50Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 84.50Ᵽ · if correct: +155.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −845.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Oct. 4, 2026, midnight
Rules: The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).