← All markets

Open 🏛️ Politics General #3689
💬 Jump to comments

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Call Yes 4Ᵽ Call No 96Ᵽ
3.85Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
1.85Ᵽ – 5.85Ᵽ
Call No
94.15Ᵽ – 98.15Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 4%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.85Ᵽ best bid · 5.85Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $69,615 volume · $12,110 liquidity
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
Loading…

Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

Loading…
Bids
10.00 1.85Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 98.15Ᵽ · if correct: +18.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −981.50Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 5.85Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 5.85Ᵽ · if correct: +941.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −58.50Ᵽ

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet -- be the first to say something.