Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

39.50Ᵽ

last traded

Call Yes

35.50Ᵽ – 39.50Ᵽ

Call No

60.50Ᵽ – 64.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 46%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

35.50Ᵽ best bid · 39.50Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $21,671 volume · $547 liquidity

👥 1 trader 📈 2 trades on Profet · 10.00 contracts traded 💰 15.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Will Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 be exactly 2ㅤ? Kalshi: 1% · 45.00Ᵽ apart

Will Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 be exactly 1ㅤ? Kalshi: 5% · 41.00Ᵽ apart

Will Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 be exactly 0ㅤ? Kalshi: 94% · 48.00Ᵽ apart

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Bids

10.00 35.50Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 64.50Ᵽ · if correct: +355.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −645.00Ᵽ

Asks

5.00 39.50Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 5.00 @ 39.50Ᵽ · if correct: +302.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −197.50Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m.
Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.