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Open 🏛️ Politics General #4298

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Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?

Call Yes 3Ᵽ Call No 97Ᵽ
2.85Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
1.00Ᵽ – 4.65Ᵽ
Call No
95.35Ᵽ – 99.00Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 2%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.00Ᵽ best bid · 4.65Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $78,760 volume · $19,473 liquidity
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book

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Bids
10.00 1.00Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 99.00Ᵽ · if correct: +10.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −990.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 4.65Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 4.65Ᵽ · if correct: +953.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −46.50Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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