Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?

📡 Kalshi: 62%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC

Rules

If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.