Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?

Call Yes 4Ᵽ Call No 96Ᵽ

4.40Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

2.40Ᵽ – 6.40Ᵽ

Call No

93.60Ᵽ – 97.60Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 4%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

2.40Ᵽ best bid · 6.40Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $598,399 volume · $0 liquidity · 212,346 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Polymarket: 0% · 4.35Ᵽ apart

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Polymarket: 0% · 4.35Ᵽ apart

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Polymarket: 0% · 4.35Ᵽ apart

Price history

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Bids

10.00 2.40Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 97.60Ᵽ · if correct: +24.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −976.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 6.40Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 6.40Ᵽ · if correct: +936.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −64.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 3 p.m.
Rules: If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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