Will the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), be above 1.00%?

Call Yes 20Ᵽ Call No 80Ᵽ

20.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

18.00Ᵽ – 22.00Ᵽ

Call No

78.00Ᵽ – 82.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 20%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

18.00Ᵽ best bid · 22.00Ᵽ best ask

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $2,685 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 4 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 18.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 82.00Ᵽ · if correct: +180.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −820.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 22.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 22.00Ᵽ · if correct: +780.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −220.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Dec. 31, 2026, 9:59 p.m. UTC
Rules: If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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