Will China have two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026?

Call Yes 2Ᵽ Call No 98Ᵽ

2.10Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

1.00Ᵽ – 4.10Ᵽ

Call No

95.90Ᵽ – 99.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 2%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.00Ᵽ best bid · 4.10Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $33,816 volume · $0 liquidity · 11,693 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 1.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 99.00Ᵽ · if correct: +10.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −990.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 4.10Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 4.10Ᵽ · if correct: +959.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −41.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Dec. 31, 2027, 3 p.m.
Rules: If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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