Will Japan have two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026?

Call Yes 7Ᵽ Call No 93Ᵽ

6.60Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

4.60Ᵽ – 8.60Ᵽ

Call No

91.40Ᵽ – 95.40Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 7%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

4.60Ᵽ best bid · 8.60Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $34,915 volume · $0 liquidity · 3,740 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 4.60Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 95.40Ᵽ · if correct: +46.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −954.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 8.60Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 8.60Ᵽ · if correct: +914.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −86.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Dec. 31, 2027, 3 p.m.
Rules: If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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