Will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report be above 4.0% in October 2026?

Call Yes 78Ᵽ Call No 22Ᵽ

78.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

76.00Ᵽ – 80.00Ᵽ

Call No

20.00Ᵽ – 24.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 78%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

76.00Ᵽ best bid · 80.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $2,414 volume · $0 liquidity · 964 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 76.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 24.00Ᵽ · if correct: +760.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −240.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 80.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 80.00Ᵽ · if correct: +200.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −800.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Nov. 6, 2026, 1:29 p.m.
Rules: If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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