Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 7%?

Call Yes 96Ᵽ Call No 4Ᵽ

96.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

94.00Ᵽ – 98.00Ᵽ

Call No

2.00Ᵽ – 6.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 96%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

94.00Ᵽ best bid · 98.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $1,525 volume · $0 liquidity · 1,120 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 94.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 6.00Ᵽ · if correct: +940.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −60.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 98.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 98.00Ᵽ · if correct: +20.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −980.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Oct. 29, 2026, 12:29 p.m.
Rules: If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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