Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 9%?

Call Yes 36Ᵽ Call No 64Ᵽ

36.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

34.00Ᵽ – 38.00Ᵽ

Call No

62.00Ᵽ – 66.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 36%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

34.00Ᵽ best bid · 38.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $1,118 volume · $0 liquidity · 701 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 34.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 66.00Ᵽ · if correct: +340.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −660.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 38.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 38.00Ᵽ · if correct: +620.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −380.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Oct. 29, 2026, 12:29 p.m.
Rules: If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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