Will exactly 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Call Yes 2Ᵽ Call No 98Ᵽ

1.90Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

1.00Ᵽ – 3.90Ᵽ

Call No

96.10Ᵽ – 99.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 2%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.00Ᵽ best bid · 3.90Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $22,681 volume · $0 liquidity · 14,866 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 1 view ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 1.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 99.00Ᵽ · if correct: +10.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −990.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 3.90Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 3.90Ᵽ · if correct: +961.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −39.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Nov. 3, 2026, 3 p.m.
Rules: If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 6, then the market resolves to Yes.

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