Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

📡 Polymarket: 0%
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Source

Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

June 17, 2026, midnight

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Think “Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?” resolved No incorrectly? 0 appeals filed so far — window closes Sept. 13, 2026, 7:52 p.m.. This doesn't decide anything by itself; staff review every appeal.

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