Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle)
✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one coin launched in 2026 appears in the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on CoinGecko at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
Rankings will be determined using CoinGecko’s market capitalization rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/).
Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.