← All markets

Resolved No 🏛️ Politics General #239
🎯 One of 3 candidates in the same event. This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across the 3 candidates are not required to add up to 100% -- each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work. See all 3 candidates »
💬 Jump to comments

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Call Yes 0Ᵽ Call No 100Ᵽ
0.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—

📡 Polymarket: 0%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $960,210 volume

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
Loading…

Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

This market isn't open for trading.

Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.

The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.

Comments

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet -- be the first to say something.