Will Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party have resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027?

Call Yes 18Ᵽ Call No 82Ᵽ

18.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

16.00Ᵽ – 20.00Ᵽ

Call No

80.00Ᵽ – 84.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 18%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

16.00Ᵽ best bid · 20.00Ᵽ best ask

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $9,208 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 3 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 16.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 84.00Ᵽ · if correct: +160.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −840.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 20.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 20.00Ᵽ · if correct: +800.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −200.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC
Rules: If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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