Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by September 30, 2026?

Call Yes 1Ᵽ Call No 99Ᵽ

1.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

1.00Ᵽ – 3.00Ᵽ

Call No

97.00Ᵽ – 99.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 1%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.00Ᵽ best bid · 3.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Kalshi right now: $17,365 volume · $0 liquidity · 10,339 open interest

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? Polymarket: 6% · 5.45Ᵽ apart

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Polymarket: 0% · 0.55Ᵽ apart

Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? Polymarket: 18% · 16.50Ᵽ apart

Price history

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Bids

10.00 1.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 99.00Ᵽ · if correct: +10.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −990.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 3.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 3.00Ᵽ · if correct: +970.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −30.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Oct. 1, 2026, 2 p.m.
Rules: If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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