Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?

Call Yes 5Ᵽ Call No 95Ᵽ

5.10Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

3.10Ᵽ – 7.10Ᵽ

Call No

92.90Ᵽ – 96.90Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 5%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

3.10Ᵽ best bid · 7.10Ᵽ best ask

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $1,237,136 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 3 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 3.10Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 96.90Ᵽ · if correct: +31.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −969.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 7.10Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 7.10Ᵽ · if correct: +929.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −71.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC
Rules: If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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