Open 💻 Tech & AI General #26275

🎯 One of 4 candidates in the same event. This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across the 4 candidates are not required to add up to 100% -- each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work. See all 4 candidates »

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Will a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2040?

Call Yes 64Ᵽ Call No 36Ᵽ

64.30Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

62.30Ᵽ – 66.30Ᵽ

Call No

33.70Ᵽ – 37.70Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 64%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

62.30Ᵽ best bid · 66.30Ᵽ best ask

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $2,110 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 4 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform

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Order book

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Bids

10.00 62.30Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 37.70Ᵽ · if correct: +623.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −377.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 66.30Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 66.30Ᵽ · if correct: +337.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −663.00Ᵽ

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Resolution

Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2040, 4:59 a.m. UTC
Rules: If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

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