Resolved No
🏛️ Politics
General
#29
🎯 One of 3 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 3 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 3 candidates »
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
0.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
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📡 Polymarket: 0%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $741,070 volume
👁 6 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
Price history
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Polymarket (indicative)
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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