Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

3.60Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

1.65Ᵽ – 5.65Ᵽ

Call No

94.35Ᵽ – 98.35Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 4%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.65Ᵽ best bid · 5.65Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $108,331 volume · $20,257 liquidity

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Bids

10.00 1.65Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 98.35Ᵽ · if correct: +16.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −983.50Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 5.65Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 5.65Ᵽ · if correct: +943.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −56.50Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 5 a.m.
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count.

The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.