Open
🏛️ Politics
General
#33410
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?
84.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
87.50Ᵽ – 91.50Ᵽ
Call No
8.50Ᵽ – 12.50Ᵽ
📡 Polymarket: 76%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
87.50Ᵽ best bid · 91.50Ᵽ best ask
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $10,113 volume
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
Loading…
Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.
Log in to trade this market.
Order book
Loading…
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
Log in to add your own rating.
No one's rated this yet -- be the first.
Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Comments
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet -- be the first to say something.