Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Call Yes 8Ᵽ Call No 92Ᵽ

8.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

6.30Ᵽ – 10.30Ᵽ

Call No

89.70Ᵽ – 93.70Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 9%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

6.30Ᵽ best bid · 10.30Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $17,247 volume · $2,901 liquidity

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Bids

10.00 6.30Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 93.70Ᵽ · if correct: +63.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −937.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 10.30Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 10.30Ᵽ · if correct: +897.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −103.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Dec. 31, 2026, midnight
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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