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Open 💵 Economy General #33638

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Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Call Yes 8Ᵽ Call No 92Ᵽ
8.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
4.50Ᵽ – 8.50Ᵽ
Call No
91.50Ᵽ – 95.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 6%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

4.50Ᵽ best bid · 8.50Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $10,929 volume · $522 liquidity
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Order book

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Bids
10.00 4.50Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 95.50Ᵽ · if correct: +45.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −955.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 8.50Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 8.50Ᵽ · if correct: +915.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −85.00Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Comments

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