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Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?

Call Yes 7Ᵽ Call No 94Ᵽ
6.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
4.50Ᵽ – 8.50Ᵽ
Call No
91.50Ᵽ – 95.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 6%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

4.50Ᵽ best bid · 8.50Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $78,597 volume · $8,531 liquidity
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book

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Bids
10.00 4.50Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 95.50Ᵽ · if correct: +45.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −955.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 8.50Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 8.50Ᵽ · if correct: +915.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −85.00Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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