Will the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index be above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Nov 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

📡 Kalshi: 57%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

55.00Ᵽ best bid · 59.00Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Nov. 14, 2026, 4:59 a.m.

Rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Nov 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.