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Resolved Yes 🏛️ Politics General #341
🎯 One of 19 candidates in the same event. This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across the 19 candidates are not required to add up to 100% -- each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work. See all 19 candidates »
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Call Yes 55Ᵽ Call No 46Ᵽ
54.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—

📡 Polymarket: 36%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $10,796,191 volume

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

This market isn't open for trading.

Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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