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🏛️ Politics
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#3417
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
Call Yes 94Ᵽ
Call No 7Ᵽ
93.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
91.55Ᵽ – 95.55Ᵽ
Call No
4.45Ᵽ – 8.45Ᵽ
📡 Polymarket: 96%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
91.55Ᵽ best bid · 95.55Ᵽ best ask
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $12,175 volume
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.
Order book
Bids
Call No 10.00 @ 8.45Ᵽ
· if correct: +915.50Ᵽ
· if wrong: −84.50Ᵽ
Asks
Call Yes 10.00 @ 95.55Ᵽ
· if correct: +44.50Ᵽ
· if wrong: −955.50Ᵽ
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
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Resolution
- Source
-
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle)
✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
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