Open 💵 Economy General #34234

🎯 One of 13 candidates in the same event. This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across the 13 candidates are not required to add up to 100% -- each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work. See all 13 candidates »

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

Call Yes 6Ᵽ Call No 94Ᵽ

5.95Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

2.65Ᵽ – 6.65Ᵽ

Call No

93.35Ᵽ – 97.35Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 3%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

2.65Ᵽ best bid · 6.65Ᵽ best ask

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $12,271 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 6 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

Order book

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Bids

10.00 2.65Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 97.35Ᵽ · if correct: +26.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −973.50Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 6.65Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 6.65Ᵽ · if correct: +933.50Ᵽ · if wrong: −66.50Ᵽ

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Resolution

Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Dec. 31, 2026, midnight UTC
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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