← All markets

Resolved No 🏛️ Politics General #34522
🎯 One of 7 candidates in the same event. This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across the 7 candidates are not required to add up to 100% -- each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work. See all 7 candidates »
💬 Jump to comments

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026

Call Yes 7Ᵽ Call No 94Ᵽ
6.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—

📡 Polymarket: 0%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $22,669 volume

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
Loading…

Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

This market isn't open for trading.

Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Comments

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet -- be the first to say something.