Will the U.S. Department of Justice announces a fine or civil/criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia, or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, concerning the Groq licensing deal announced on December 24, 2025 before Jan 1, 2027?

Call Yes 13Ᵽ Call No 87Ᵽ

13.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

11.00Ᵽ – 15.00Ᵽ

Call No

85.00Ᵽ – 89.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 13%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

11.00Ᵽ best bid · 15.00Ᵽ best ask

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $1,971 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 3 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 11.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 89.00Ᵽ · if correct: +110.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −890.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 15.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 15.00Ᵽ · if correct: +850.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −150.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC
Rules: If the U.S. Department of Justice announces a fine or civil/criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia, or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, concerning the Groq licensing deal announced on December 24, 2025 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An agreed settlement can qualify before court approval.

Investigations, information demands, subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for penalties, statements about possible future fines, nonmonetary relief, and unrelated fines do NOT count.

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