Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty before Jan 1, 2027?

3.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

1.00Ᵽ – 5.00Ᵽ

Call No

95.00Ᵽ – 99.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 3%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.00Ᵽ best bid · 5.00Ᵽ best ask

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $7,227 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 4 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

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Price history

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Bids

10.00 1.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 99.00Ᵽ · if correct: +10.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −990.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 5.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 5.00Ᵽ · if correct: +950.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −50.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC
Rules: If India agrees to or announces resumption of the Indus Waters Treaty after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

India must affirmatively agree to or announce resumption of the Indus Waters Treaty. A third-party ruling or acknowledgment of the treaty's legal status alone does not qualify.

An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:

Formal signing of treaties
Parliamentary approval with binding effect
Official ratification
Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority
Official statements by authorized ministers
Official press releases
Formal declarations during government proceedings
Official statements to international bodies

Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.

The following do NOT qualify:

Preliminary discussions
Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances
Opposition party statements
Leaked documents
Think-tank recommendations
General aspirations without specific commitment
Draft legislation without approval
Regional actions (unless specified)
Retraction of a previously announced commitment to resume the Treaty

An affirmative withdrawal of the abeyance decision accompanied by a renewed commitment to Treaty operation qualifies.