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Open 🏛️ Politics General #34783
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Will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law before Jan 1, 2027?

Call Yes 7Ᵽ Call No 93Ᵽ
7.00Ᵽ
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Call Yes
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📡 Kalshi: 7%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $4,301 volume

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If legislation requiring AI kill switches has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A qualifying federal law must require a technical capability to halt or disable an AI model or system when needed to address safety or security risks or loss of control. This may be implemented through shutdown, suspension, or cutting off the resources or access the system needs to operate. Control may remain with the company; government authority to activate it is not required.

A general power to ban AI development or deployment does not qualify without a required technical shutdown capability. The capability need not be activated before the deadline. A later effective date does not delay qualification.

An example of this is the AI Kill Switch Act (H.R. 9917).

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