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🏛️ Politics
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#34998
🎯 One of 6 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 6 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 6 candidates »
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 10 percentage points?
60.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
58.00Ᵽ – 62.00Ᵽ
Call No
38.00Ᵽ – 42.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 60%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
58.00Ᵽ best bid · 62.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $2,372 volume
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election. The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
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