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Open 🏛️ Politics General #3501

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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Call Yes 6Ᵽ Call No 95Ᵽ
5.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
3.50Ᵽ – 7.50Ᵽ
Call No
92.50Ᵽ – 96.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 6%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

3.50Ᵽ best bid · 7.50Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $857,769 volume · $77,176 liquidity
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book

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Bids
10.00 3.50Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 96.50Ᵽ · if correct: +35.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −965.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 7.50Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 7.50Ᵽ · if correct: +925.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −75.00Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

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