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Open 🏛️ Politics General #3501
🎯 One of 6 candidates in the same event. This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across the 6 candidates are not required to add up to 100% -- each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work. See all 6 candidates »
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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Call Yes 6Ᵽ Call No 95Ᵽ
5.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
3.50Ᵽ – 7.50Ᵽ
Call No
92.50Ᵽ – 96.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 6%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

3.50Ᵽ best bid · 7.50Ᵽ best ask

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $857,769 volume
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 5 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Order book

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Bids
10.00 3.50Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 96.50Ᵽ · if correct: +35.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −965.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 7.50Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 7.50Ᵽ · if correct: +925.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −75.00Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Comments

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