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#35056
🎯 One of 18 candidates in the same event.
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Will Waymo be operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Minneapolis, MN before Jan 1, 2027?
10.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
8.00Ᵽ – 12.00Ᵽ
Call No
88.00Ᵽ – 92.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 10%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
8.00Ᵽ best bid · 12.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $1,146 volume
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Resolution
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- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
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- If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Minneapolis, MN before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
"Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Minneapolis, MN, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Minneapolis, MN may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Minneapolis, MN
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Minneapolis, MN limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Minneapolis, MN
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Minneapolis, MN
Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public
Examples that would resolve to No:
Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Minneapolis, MN
Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Minneapolis, MN
All Waymo vehicles in Minneapolis, MN have safety drivers
Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides
Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code
Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2027
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