Will the US personal saving rate be reported below 2.0% in any Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal Income and Outlays release covering a 2026 reference month?

📡 Kalshi: 23%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 29, 2027, 1:29 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the US personal saving rate is reported below 2.0% in any Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal Income and Outlays release covering a 2026 reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.

The “US personal saving rate” means the monthly personal saving rate reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, defined as personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income.

This market resolves based on the first value reported for each 2026 reference month in the corresponding BEA Personal Income and Outlays release. Later revisions do not affect settlement.