Will Waymo be operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within New Orleans, LA before Jan 1, 2027?

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Dec. 31, 2026, 3 p.m. UTC

Rules

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within New Orleans, LA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within New Orleans, LA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within New Orleans, LA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of New Orleans, LA
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into New Orleans, LA limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within New Orleans, LA
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in New Orleans, LA
Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public

Examples that would resolve to No:

Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in New Orleans, LA
Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in New Orleans, LA
All Waymo vehicles in New Orleans, LA have safety drivers
Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides
Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code
Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2027